Premier Division · Regular Season - 33
ShelbournevsSligo Rovers
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier Division
- Venue
- Tolka Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers: match review and analysis
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers in Premier Division on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Shelbourne recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Sligo Rovers recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 8 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Shelbourne: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sligo Rovers: (0.55 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Shelbourne recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway UnitedPremier Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DundalkPremier Division | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Drogheda UnitedPremier Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Derry CityPremier Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shamrock RoversPremier Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Galway UnitedPremier Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AjaxUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AjaxUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| WaterfordPremier Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Shelbourne’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sligo Rovers recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Galway UnitedPremier Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Drogheda UnitedPremier Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| WaterfordFAI Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BohemiansPremier Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| WaterfordPremier Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KerryFAI Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Derry CityPremier Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DundalkPremier Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Drogheda UnitedPremier Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sligo Rovers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shelbourne are ranked 6 in Premier Division, with 40 points from 32 games.
Sligo Rovers are ranked 10 in Premier Division, with 23 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 59 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 59 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.