Azadegan League · Regular Season - 4
Shenavarsazi Qeshm1–0Mes Soongoun
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Azadegan League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun: match review and analysis
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun in Azadegan League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Mes Soongoun recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 6 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Mes Soongoun |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm: (1.19 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mes Soongoun: (0.54 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Shenavarsazi Qeshm recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fard AlborzAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Novin AhvazAzadegan League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Pars Jonoubi JAMAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Mes SoongounAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Naft GachsaranAzadegan League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Damash GilanianAzadegan League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nassaji MazandaranAzadegan League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SaipaAzadegan League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Shenavarsazi Qeshm’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mes Soongoun recent form
0.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mes RafsanjanAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SaipaAzadegan League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shahrdari NoshahrAzadegan League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Naft GachsaranAzadegan League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shenavarsazi QeshmAzadegan League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Damash GilanianAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nassaji MazandaranAzadegan League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mes Soongoun’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Azadegan League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 4 games.
Mes Soongoun are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 2 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saipa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Mes Rafsanjan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ario Eslamshahr | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Fard Alborz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Niroye Zamini | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mes Kerman | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Naft Gachsaran | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Havadar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.