CONCACAF Nations League · League B - 4
Sint Maarten2–4St. Vincent / Grenadines
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- FFB Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–4
- 90-minute score
- 2–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 11′Oalex AndersonNormal GoalSt. Vincent / Grenadines
- 24′
- 34′Sergio HughesOwn GoalSt. Vincent / Grenadines
- 57′
- 74′Mitchell de NooijerNormal GoalSint Maarten
- 82′Quinton ChristinaNormal GoalSint Maarten
Cards
- 22′Andrew JohnsonYellow CardSt. Vincent / GrenadinesFoul
- 45+3′Kennijah JosephRed CardSt. Vincent / GrenadinesFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Sint Maarten
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
- 1Ishan Arturo KortG
- 5Diaro ForsytheD
- 3Mitchell de NooijerD
- 11Sergio HughesD
- 20Tyrel GumbsD
- 6Oliver HobgoodM
- 8Ties KerssiesM
- 21Elmer de VriesM
- 19Quinton ChristinaM
- 7Chovanie AmatkarijoM
- 9Imar KortF
Substitutes
- 22Len BleekerF
- 4Nathaniël KrabbendamM
- 17Jeffterick MartinaF
- 14Stanleï FerdinandF
- 16Khalid TavernierF
- 23Joseph CartalinoG
- 18Chandro WilkinG
- 13Kars KerssiesD
- 15Roy GerritsenM
- 10Kay GerritsenM
St. Vincent / Grenadines
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
- 23Lemus ChristopherG
- 19Tristan MarshallD
- 21Andrew JohnsonD
- 20Joseph BarterD
- 12Cori Durrant-BarbourD
- 8Kennijah JosephM
- 2Diel SpringM
- 4Steven PierreM
- 6Micah JosephM
- 17Kirtney FranklynM
- 10Oalex AndersonF
Substitutes
- 14Shemron PhillipsM
- 15Jordan RagguetteD
- 7Bishon RichardsM
- 5Nigel CharlesD
- 3Ted RobertsM
- 1Garwin DavisG
- 22Anthony LewisG
- 16Dimitri ThomasD
- 11Azinho SolomonF
- 18Java AudainM
- 13Malcolm StewartM
- 9Cornelius StewartF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent / Grenadines: match review and analysis
Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent / Grenadines in CONCACAF Nations League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sint Maarten recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 18. St. Vincent / Grenadines recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 25 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sint Maarten | St. Vincent / Grenadines |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sint Maarten: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St. Vincent / Grenadines: (2.03 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sint Maarten recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| French GuyanaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BelizeCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DominicaCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BelizeCONCACAF Series | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| DominicaCONCACAF Series | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| St. Kitts and NevisCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ArubaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HaitiCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–8 | Lost | |
| Puerto RicoCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Puerto RicoCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Sint Maarten’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Vincent / Grenadines recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BelizeCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| French GuyanaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarbadosCONCACAF Series | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| BonaireCONCACAF Series | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| St. LuciaCONCACAF Series | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dominican RepublicCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CubaFriendlies | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CubaFriendlies | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Puerto RicoWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AnguillaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 6–0 | Won |
Scores shown from St. Vincent / Grenadines’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.