Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10
Slask WroclawvsLech Poznan
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ekstraklasa
- Venue
- Stadion Śląska Wrocław
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan: match review and analysis
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan in Ekstraklasa on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Slask Wroclaw recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Lech Poznan recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 28 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Slask Wroclaw | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 28 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Slask Wroclaw: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lech Poznan: (2.40 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Slask Wroclaw recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan LiberecFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Korona KielceEkstraklasa | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| JagielloniaEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pogon SzczecinCup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Slask Wroclaw’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lech Poznan recent form
2.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie CottbusFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| JagielloniaEkstraklasa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC ThunUEFA Europa League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC ThunUEFA Europa League | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| KI KlaksvikUEFA Europa League | Away | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Lech Poznan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ekstraklasa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lech Poznan are ranked 3 in Ekstraklasa, with 19 points from 8 games.
Slask Wroclaw are ranked 16 in Ekstraklasa, with 6 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie Lubin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Łódź | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Kraków | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.