Premier League · Regular Season - 6
FULL-TIME
Smouha SC1–0Ghazl El Mehalla
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Alexandria Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla: match review and analysis
Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla in Premier League on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Smouha SC recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Ghazl El Mehalla recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Smouha SC | Ghazl El Mehalla |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Smouha SC: (0.25 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ghazl El Mehalla: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Smouha SC recent form
0.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El GeishPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ceramica CleopatraPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al AhlyPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Asyut PetrolPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AL MasryPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pyramids FCPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Zamalek SCPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AL MasryPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ceramica CleopatraPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al AhlyPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Smouha SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ghazl El Mehalla recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair SemadLeague Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Zamalek SCPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| National Bank of EgyptPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| EnppiPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Future FCPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pyramids FCPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Haras El HodoodPremier League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Future FCPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al IttihadPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MasrPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ghazl El Mehalla’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Smouha SC are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 7 points from 6 games.
Ghazl El Mehalla are ranked 20 in Premier League, with 1 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Future FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Masr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Olympic El Qanah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | El Geish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | AL Masry | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Smouha SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | National Bank of Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Enppi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Abu Qair Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gouna FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petrol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.