Super League · Regular Season - 23
SogdianavsLokomotiv
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- Sogdiana Sport Complex
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv: match review and analysis
Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv in Super League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sogdiana recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Lokomotiv recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sogdiana | Lokomotiv |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sogdiana: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lokomotiv: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sogdiana recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OlmaliqSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| XorazmSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mash'alSuper League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| JayxunCup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| NeftchiSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| QizilqumSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SurkhonSuper League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AndijanSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mash'alSuper League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| LokomotivSuper League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sogdiana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lokomotiv recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NeftchiSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BunyodkorCup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mash'alSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NavbahorSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BunyodkorSuper League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| XorazmSuper League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kokand-1912Super League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BuxoroSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Lokomotiv’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lokomotiv are ranked 7 in Super League, with 35 points from 22 games.
Sogdiana are ranked 11 in Super League, with 28 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Neftchi | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Olmaliq | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand-1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 47 | -36 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.