III Liga - Group 4 · Group IV - 11
Sokół Kolb.2–2Moravia Morawica
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sokół Kolb. vs Moravia Morawica: match review and analysis
Sokół Kolb. vs Moravia Morawica in III Liga - Group 4 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Sokół Kolb. recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Moravia Morawica recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 11 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sokół Kolb. | Moravia Morawica |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sokół Kolb.: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Moravia Morawica: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sokół Kolb. recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Podlasie Biała PodlaskaIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Siarka TarnobrzegIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| JarosławIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sokół Kolb.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Moravia Morawica recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JarosławIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Busko-ZdrojIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Czarni PołaniecIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hetman ZamoscIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KSZO 1929III Liga - Group 4 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Wisła Kraków IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Moravia Morawica’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sokół Kolb. are ranked 11 in Group IV, with 13 points from 11 games.
Moravia Morawica are ranked 17 in Group IV, with 8 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisłoka Dębica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzód | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Jarosław | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sokół Kolb. | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Wisła Kraków II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.