Czech Liga · Regular Season - 10
Sparta PrahavsPardubice
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Czech Liga
- Venue
- epet ARENA
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Real Scored match analysis
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice: match review and analysis
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice in Czech Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sparta Praha recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 28 and conceding 13. Pardubice recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sparta Praha | Pardubice |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 28 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sparta Praha: (3.05 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pardubice: (2.31 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sparta Praha recent form
2.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| FK JablonecCzech Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Viktoria ŽižkovCup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Slavia PrahaCzech Liga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ArtisCzech Liga | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| TepliceCzech Liga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| LyonUEFA Champions League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sparta Praha’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pardubice recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria ŽižkovFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Bohemians 1905Czech Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KozloviceCup | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Baník OstravaCzech Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SlováckoCzech Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ArtisCzech Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PísekCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slavia PrahaCzech Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pardubice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Czech Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sparta Praha are ranked 7 in Czech Liga, with 15 points from 9 games.
Pardubice are ranked 13 in Czech Liga, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 26 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Teplice | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Zbrojovka Brno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Sparta Praha | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Hradec Králové | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Plzen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Baník Ostrava | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Artis | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | Zlin | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.