Spartak Moscow 2vsZvezda St. Petersburg

Real Scored match analysis

Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg: match review and analysis

Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg in Second League - Group 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.

Spartak Moscow 2 recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Zvezda St. Petersburg recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 14 scored and 27 conceded across 10 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Spartak Moscow 2: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 3.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Zvezda St. Petersburg: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.