Second League - Group 1 · Group 1 - 26
Spartak Nalchik2–1Astrakhan
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan: match review and analysis
Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan in Second League - Group 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Spartak Nalchik recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Astrakhan recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Spartak Nalchik | Astrakhan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Spartak Nalchik: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Astrakhan: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 2.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Spartak Nalchik recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PobedaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| DruzhbaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Angust NazranSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SevastopolSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Volgar AstrakhanCup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LuganskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Alaniya VladikavkazCup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KyzyltashSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Spartak Nalchik’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Astrakhan recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angust NazranSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| IzberbashSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PobedaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala IISecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LuganskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Dinamo StavropolCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SevastopolSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Mashuk-KMVCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shahter TaganrogSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Astrakhan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Spartak Nalchik are ranked 8 in South, with 28 points from 20 games.
Astrakhan are ranked 11 in South, with 20 points from 20 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevastopol | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Shahter Taganrog | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 46 |
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Kyzyltash | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 31 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Lugansk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Astrakhan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 57 | -38 | 18 |
| 13 | Angust Nazran | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | FK Chayka 2 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | PSK Dinskaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | KDV | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Akron II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 27 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orenburg II | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
| 2 | Ural II | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 25 |
| 3 | Izhevsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
| 4 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
| 5 | Nosta | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 21 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk II | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.