Serie C - Girone B · Girone B - 9
SpeziavsGubbio
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie C - Girone B
- Venue
- Stadio Alberto Picco
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Spezia vs Gubbio: match review and analysis
Spezia vs Gubbio in Serie C - Girone B on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Spezia recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 5. Gubbio recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 17 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Spezia | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Spezia: (2.22 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gubbio: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Spezia recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReggianaSerie C - Girone B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PescaraSerie C - Girone B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vis PesaroSerie C - Girone B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PerugiaSerie C - Girone B | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| LivornoSerie C - Girone B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SambenedetteseSerie C - Girone B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VadoCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Campobasso FCSerie C - Girone B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GrossetoSerie C - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorresCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Spezia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gubbio recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PerugiaSerie C - Girone B | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| RavennaSerie C - Girone B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ostia MareSerie C - Girone B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PescaraSerie C - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LatinaSerie C - Girone B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Campobasso FCSerie C - Girone B | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Vis PesaroCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| ReggianaSerie C - Girone B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937Serie C - Girone B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PinetoCoppa Italia Serie C | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Gubbio’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie C - Girone B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Spezia are ranked 1 in Serie C: Girone B, with 22 points from 8 games.
Gubbio are ranked 16 in Serie C: Girone B, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Livorno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Perugia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Campobasso FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Torres | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Pescara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Forli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Atalanta II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Ostia Mare | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Vado | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Gubbio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Latina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Pianese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.