Paraense A3 · Quarter-finals
Sport BelemvsParauapebas
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 7 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Paraense A3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sport Belem vs Parauapebas: match review and analysis
Sport Belem vs Parauapebas in Paraense A3 on 3 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Sport Belem recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 11. Parauapebas recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 6 scored and 11 conceded across 7 games.
| Statistic | Sport Belem | Parauapebas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 7 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sport Belem: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Parauapebas: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sport Belem recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ParauapebasParaense A3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CA Vila RicaParaense A3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BelenenseParaense A3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CA Vila RicaParaense A3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BelenenseParaense A3 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| GaviãoParaense A3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GaviãoParaense A3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TeslaParaense A3 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Tiradentes PAParaense A3 | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| TeslaParaense A3 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sport Belem’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 7 GAMES
Parauapebas recent form
0.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. 4 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport BelemParaense A3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AltamiraParaense A3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GaviãoParaense A3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AltamiraParaense A3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GaviãoParaense A3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LondrinaCopa Do Brasil | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| LondrinaCopa Do Brasil | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Parauapebas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Paraense A3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sport Belem are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 4 games.
Parauapebas are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavião | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sport Belem | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Pedreira | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Belenense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Vénus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Pinheirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Tesla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Parauapebas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Paraense SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | Altamira | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | ESMAC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 |
| 12 | CA Vila Rica | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.