Regionalliga - West · West - 12
Sportfreunde LottevsPaderborn II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - West
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II: match review and analysis
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II in Regionalliga - West on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sportfreunde Lotte recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 21. Paderborn II recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sportfreunde Lotte | Paderborn II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sportfreunde Lotte: (0.54 weighted goals scored + 2.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Paderborn II: (1.50 weighted goals scored + 2.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sportfreunde Lotte recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV RodinghausenRegionalliga - West | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Borussia M'gladbach IIRegionalliga - West | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Schalke 04 IIRegionalliga - West | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HildenRegionalliga - West | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Westfalia RhynernRegionalliga - West | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bergisch GladbachRegionalliga - West | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Köln IIRegionalliga - West | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bochum IIRegionalliga - West | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bonner SCRegionalliga - West | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sportfreunde Lotte’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Paderborn II recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| FC GuterslohRegionalliga - West | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WiedenbrückRegionalliga - West | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SG Wattenscheid 09Regionalliga - West | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Sportfreunde SiegenRegionalliga - West | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC BocholtRegionalliga - West | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Bonner SCRegionalliga - West | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SV RodinghausenRegionalliga - West | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Borussia M'gladbach IIRegionalliga - West | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Paderborn II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - West — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Paderborn II are ranked 12 in Regionalliga: West, with 13 points from 11 games.
Sportfreunde Lotte are ranked 18 in Regionalliga: West, with 3 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Gutersloh | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Westfalia Rhynern | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Bergisch Gladbach | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Bonner SC | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Schalke 04 II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Köln II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | FC Bocholt | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Paderborn II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Hilden | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Bochum II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | SV Rodinghausen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Wiedenbrück | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.