Segunda División · Regular Season - 8
Sporting Gijon3–2Celta de Vigo II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II: match review and analysis
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II in Segunda División on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Sporting Gijon recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Celta de Vigo II recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sporting Gijon | Celta de Vigo II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sporting Gijon: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Celta de Vigo II: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sporting Gijon recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OviedoSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC AndorraSegunda División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| EldenseSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GironaSegunda División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TenerifeSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BurgosSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SabadellSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ValladolidFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Racing SantanderFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Gimnástica TorrelavegaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sporting Gijon’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Celta de Vigo II recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SabadellSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlmeriaSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EibarSegunda División | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| AD Ceuta FCSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CastellónSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC AndorraSegunda División | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| CadizSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VizelaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LugoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Play Offs | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Celta de Vigo II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sporting Gijon are ranked 8 in Segunda, with 13 points from 8 games.
Celta de Vigo II are ranked 18 in Segunda, with 8 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellón | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.