Liga III - Serie 4 · Group 4 - 8
Sporting LieştivsProgresul Fundulea
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sporting Lieşti vs Progresul Fundulea: match review and analysis
Sporting Lieşti vs Progresul Fundulea in Liga III - Serie 4 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sporting Lieşti recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 30 and conceding 23. Progresul Fundulea recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 21 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sporting Lieşti | Progresul Fundulea |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 30 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sporting Lieşti: (3.41 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Progresul Fundulea: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 2.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sporting Lieşti recent form
3.00 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola BorceaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| FC Oţelul IILiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Dunarea CalarasiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Înainte ModeluLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 5–4 | Won | |
| AgigeaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Portul ConstantaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo BucurestiCupa României | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Unirea BranişteaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| USV IaşiCupa României | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CSM AdjudCupa României | Away | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Sporting Lieşti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Progresul Fundulea recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria BăneasaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Recolta Gheorghe DojaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AxiopolisLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Unirea BranişteaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Agricola BorceaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FC Oţelul IILiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Dunarea CalarasiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Progresul SpartacCupa României | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AgigeaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AxiopolisLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Progresul Fundulea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sporting Lieşti are ranked 5 in Group 4, with 12 points from 7 games.
Progresul Fundulea are ranked 8 in Group 4, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Agigea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Înainte Modelu | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Axiopolis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Unirea Braniştea | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gloria Băneasa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 11 | Portul Constanta | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Oţelul II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.