Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 13
Sportivo Trinidense3–2Sportivo Luqueno
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division Profesional - Clausura
- Venue
- Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 5′Tomás Ezequiel RayerNormal GoalSportivo Trinidense
- 43′
- 45+2′Néstor CamachoPenaltySportivo Trinidense
- 63′
- 76′Gustavo VieraNormal GoalSportivo TrinidenseAssist: Deivis Faustino Barone Mora
Cards
- 12′Alexis CanteroYellow CardSportivo LuquenoFoul
- 61′Nelson Ariel Gauto CastilloYellow CardSportivo TrinidenseFoul
- 65′Tomás Ezequiel RayerYellow CardSportivo TrinidenseFoul
- 69′Aldo MaizYellow CardSportivo LuquenoFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Sportivo Trinidense
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: J. Arrúa
Starting XI
- 12V. SamudioG
- 23C. BenítezD
- 40A. da SilveiraD
- 6A. CañeteD
- 4D. MelgarejoD
- 5N. GautoM
- 10N. ManáM
- 21G. VieraM
- 29T. RayerM
- 31A. MorinigoM
- 7N. CamachoF
Substitutes
- 24F. BarujaM
- 13Deivis Faustino Barone MoraF
- 19A. CanoM
- 1M. DufourG
- 22J. GamarraF
- 9O. GiménezF
- 37L. GonzalezM
- 16J. MarcelinoM
- 14S. MendozaM
- 17J. RománF
- 3D. VillalbaD
- 8L. de la CruzD
Sportivo Luqueno
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Lucas Barrios
Starting XI
- 1N. CampisiG
- 2M. BarretoD
- 3Á. BrizuelaD
- 6F. WiechniakD
- 23A. CanteroD
- 14F. BenitezM
- 37L. ComasM
- 30T. FrancoM
- 10G. BogadoM
- 11Ó. RuízM
- 20I. MaggiF
Substitutes
- 24S. BeltránM
- 18F. BobadillaM
- 9W. GonzálezF
- 8A. MaízM
- 12F. MongelosG
- 29T. MuroM
- 22S. OcamposD
- 21M. OjedaM
- 7K. PereiraF
- 19M. PérezF
- 25J. RamosM
- 28A. BalbuenaD
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno: match review and analysis
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno in Division Profesional - Clausura on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Sportivo Trinidense recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Sportivo Luqueno recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sportivo Trinidense | Sportivo Luqueno |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sportivo Trinidense: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sportivo Luqueno: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sportivo Trinidense recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SOL DE AmericaCopa Paraguay | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nacional AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sportivo Trinidense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sportivo Luqueno recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OlimpiaCopa Paraguay | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nacional AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Paraguari ACCopa Paraguay | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sportivo Luqueno’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division Profesional - Clausura — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sportivo Trinidense are ranked 4 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 23 points from 13 games.
Sportivo Luqueno are ranked 9 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 13 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.