Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 10
Sportlust '46vsADO '20
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Sportlust '46 vs ADO '20: match review and analysis
Sportlust '46 vs ADO '20 in Derde Divisie on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sportlust '46 recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. ADO '20 recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sportlust '46: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 2.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
ADO '20: (2.12 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sportlust '46 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerculesDerde Divisie | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Excelsior '31Derde Divisie | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| DVS 33 ErmeloDerde Divisie | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Excelsior MaassluisKNVB Beker | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DovoDerde Divisie | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| HollandiaDerde Divisie | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| HoogeveenDerde Divisie | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Blauw GeelKNVB Beker | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| TECDerde Divisie | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PurmersteijnDerde Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sportlust '46’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
ADO '20 recent form
1.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31Derde Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| DovoDerde Divisie | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| HoogeveenDerde Divisie | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| PurmersteijnDerde Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VV ScherpenzeelDerde Divisie | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SVZWDerde Divisie | Away | 6–4 | Won | |
| Excelsior MaassluisKNVB Beker | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| StaphorstDerde Divisie | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EemdijkDerde Divisie | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| HerculesDerde Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from ADO '20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sportlust '46 are ranked 7 in Derde Divisie, with 16 points from 9 games.
ADO '20 are ranked 11 in Derde Divisie, with 13 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | SC Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | ACV | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Dovo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 4 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | SVZW | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.