Oberliga - Westfalen · Westfalen - 10
SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsTuS Hordel
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 9 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Westfalen
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs TuS Hordel: match review and analysis
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs TuS Hordel in Oberliga - Westfalen on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 9 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 23. TuS Hordel recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | TuS Hordel |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen: (2.22 weighted goals scored + 2.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
TuS Hordel: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 2.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 9 GAMES
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen recent form
1.89 goals scored and 2.56 conceded per game. 9 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lippstadt 08Oberliga - Westfalen | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| SchermbeckOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Eintracht RheineOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SprockhovelOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| MaaslingenOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VredenOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| HiltrupOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from SpVgg Herne Horsthausen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
TuS Hordel recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VredenOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| HiltrupOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arminia IIOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Victoria ClarholzOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Preußen Münster IIOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Westfalia KinderhausOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC BocholtFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from TuS Hordel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Westfalen — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
TuS Hordel are ranked 13 in Westfalen, with 10 points from 9 games.
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen are ranked 14 in Westfalen, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gievenbeck | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Vreden | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Eintracht Rheine | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Erkenschwick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Maaslingen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Lippstadt 08 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Sprockhovel | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Verl II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | ASC Dortmund | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Arminia II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Preußen Münster II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | TuS Hordel | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Victoria Clarholz | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Hiltrup | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ennepetal | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.