Regionalliga - Nord · North - 13
St. Pauli IIvsHSC Hannover
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - Nord
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover: match review and analysis
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover in Regionalliga - Nord on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
St. Pauli II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 15. HSC Hannover recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | St. Pauli II | HSC Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
St. Pauli II: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
HSC Hannover: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Pauli II recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers EmdenRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Hannover 96 IIRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SchöningenRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Werder Bremen IIRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SSV JeddelohRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bremer SVRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from St. Pauli II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
HSC Hannover recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SchöningenRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Eimsbütteler TVRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Weiche FlensburgRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Werder Bremen IIRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bremer SVRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlas DelmenhorstRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from HSC Hannover’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - Nord — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
HSC Hannover are ranked 11 in Regionalliga: North, with 13 points from 12 games.
St. Pauli II are ranked 15 in Regionalliga: North, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 28 |
| 2 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 25 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 II | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Schöningen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 24 |
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | VfB Oldenburg | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 22 |
| 7 | Kickers Emden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 | Eimsbütteler TV | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 14 |
| 10 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | HSC Hannover | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | VfB Lübeck | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Todesfelde | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 11 |
| 15 | St. Pauli II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Jeddeloh | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 10 |
| 18 | Bremer SV | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.