Challenge League · Regular Season - 10
Stade NyonnaisvsFC Aarau
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge League
- Venue
- Colovray Sports Centre
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau: match review and analysis
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau in Challenge League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stade Nyonnais recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 24. FC Aarau recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stade Nyonnais | FC Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stade Nyonnais: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 2.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Aarau: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 2.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stade Nyonnais recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900Challenge League | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Yverdon SportChallenge League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FC WinterthurChallenge League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SC KriensChallenge League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Étoile CarougeChallenge League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Amical Saint-PrexSchweizer Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC AarauChallenge League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RapperswilChallenge League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Stade Nyonnais’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Aarau recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young BoysFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GrasshoppersFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FC WinterthurChallenge League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SC KriensChallenge League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| RapperswilChallenge League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC WIL 1900Challenge League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yverdon SportChallenge League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Biel-BienneSchweizer Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Stade NyonnaisChallenge League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Aarau’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Aarau are ranked 5 in Challenge League, with 12 points from 9 games.
Stade Nyonnais are ranked 10 in Challenge League, with 2 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Étoile Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.