Oberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 13
Stadeln1–0Gebenbach
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Bayern Nord
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Stadeln vs Gebenbach: match review and analysis
Stadeln vs Gebenbach in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Stadeln recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Gebenbach recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stadeln | Gebenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stadeln: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gebenbach: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stadeln recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroßbardorfOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fortuna RegensburgOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| WeidenOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Bayern HofOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KornburgOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ASV NeumarktOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DJK BambergOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Eintracht BambergOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Stadeln’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gebenbach recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna RegensburgOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WeidenOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bayern HofOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| KornburgOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ASV NeumarktOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| DJK BambergOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Eintracht BambergOberliga - Bayern Nord | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NeudrossenfeldOberliga - Bayern Nord | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gebenbach’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Bayern Nord — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.