III Liga - Group 3 · Group III - 11
Stal Brzeg0–1Carina Gubin
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin: match review and analysis
Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin in III Liga - Group 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stal Brzeg recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Carina Gubin recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stal Brzeg | Carina Gubin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stal Brzeg: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 2.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Carina Gubin: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stal Brzeg recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| KluczborkIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rakow IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Polonia NysaIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Stal Brzeg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Carina Gubin recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Carina Gubin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stal Brzeg are ranked 13 in Group III, with 11 points from 11 games.
Carina Gubin are ranked 18 in Group III, with 8 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Stilon Gorzów | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.