I Liga · Regular Season - 10
FULL-TIME
Stal Rzeszów1–2Lechia Gdansk
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- I Liga
- Venue
- Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk: match review and analysis
Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk in I Liga on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stal Rzeszów recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Lechia Gdansk recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stal Rzeszów | Lechia Gdansk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stal Rzeszów: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lechia Gdansk: (2.47 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stal Rzeszów recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KarvináFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Miedz LegnicaI Liga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Odra OpoleI Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Polonia WarszawaI Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PodbeskidzieCup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Unia SkierniewiceI Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ruch ChorzówI Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stal MielecI Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arka GdyniaI Liga | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Stal Rzeszów’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lechia Gdansk recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch ChorzówFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Stal MielecI Liga | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| Miedz LegnicaI Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NiecieczaI Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KluczborkCup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Polonia WarszawaI Liga | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Pogoń SiedlceI Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ruch ChorzówI Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PodbeskidzieI Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Warta PoznańI Liga | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lechia Gdansk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
I Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lechia Gdansk are ranked 4 in I Liga, with 16 points from 10 games.
Stal Rzeszów are ranked 9 in I Liga, with 14 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Nieciecza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Warta Poznań | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | ŁKS Łódź | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzów | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Stal Rzeszów | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Odra Opole | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Chrobry Głogów | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Polonia Bytom | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.