III Liga - Group 2 · Group II - 11
Stargard Szczeciński5–0Kalisz
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–0
- 90-minute score
- 5–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz: match review and analysis
Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz in III Liga - Group 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stargard Szczeciński recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 19. Kalisz recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stargard Szczeciński | Kalisz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stargard Szczeciński: (2.19 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kalisz: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stargard Szczeciński recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik BydgoszczIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kotwica KórnikIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Stargard Szczeciński’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kalisz recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Chemik BydgoszczIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kotwica KórnikIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Górnik ŁęcznaCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kalisz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stargard Szczeciński are ranked 4 in Group II, with 18 points from 11 games.
Kalisz are ranked 6 in Group II, with 17 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Luzino | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Stargard Szczeciński | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Świecie | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznań II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Flota Świnoujście | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Elana Toruń | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Kotwica Kórnik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 10 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.