League One · Regular Season - 10
StevenagevsWigan
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Broadhall Way
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Stevenage vs Wigan: match review and analysis
Stevenage vs Wigan in League One on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stevenage recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Wigan recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stevenage | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stevenage: (2.04 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Wigan: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stevenage recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeicesterEFL Trophy | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WalsallEFL Trophy | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Leyton OrientLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LutonLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarnsleyLeague One | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| PeterboroughLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DoncasterLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ReadingLeague Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Oxford UnitedLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Burton AlbionLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Stevenage’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Wigan recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackpoolEFL Trophy | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| WycombeLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sheffield WednesdayLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stockport CountyLeague One | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Milton Keynes DonsLeague One | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AFC WimbledonLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Leyton OrientLeague One | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Aston Villa U21EFL Trophy | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Cambridge UnitedLeague One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BarnsleyLeague Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Wigan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stevenage are ranked 13 in League One, with 9 points from 7 games.
Wigan are ranked 24 in League One, with 4 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton Albion | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.