Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 11
StourbridgevsLeighton Town
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Stourbridge vs Leighton Town: match review and analysis
Stourbridge vs Leighton Town in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stourbridge recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Leighton Town recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 13 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stourbridge | Leighton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stourbridge: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 2.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Leighton Town: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stourbridge recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rushall OlympicFA Trophy | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rushall OlympicFA Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Peterborough SportsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Stourbridge’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Leighton Town recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough SportsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NewmarketFA Trophy | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Halesowen TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| GorlestonFA Cup | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kettering TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Leighton Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stourbridge are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 9 games.
Leighton Town are ranked 21 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 25 | -24 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.