Canadian Premier League · Group Stage
Supra du Quebec5–0Pacific FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Canadian Premier League
- Venue
- CEPSUM Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–0
- 90-minute score
- 5–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC: match review and analysis
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC in Canadian Premier League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Supra du Quebec recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Pacific FC recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Supra du Quebec | Pacific FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Supra du Quebec: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pacific FC: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Supra du Quebec recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ForgeCanadian Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ForgeCanadian Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ForgeCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| York UnitedCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ForgeCanadian Premier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Supra du Quebec’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pacific FC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York UnitedCanadian Premier League | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| York UnitedCanadian Premier League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| ForgeCanadian Premier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| York UnitedCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pacific FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Canadian Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Supra du Quebec are ranked 5 in Canadian Premier League, with 31 points from 25 games.
Pacific FC are ranked 8 in Canadian Premier League, with 14 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Forge | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 40 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers FC | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | York United | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 27 |
| 8 | Pacific FC | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.