National League · Regular Season - 13
Sutton UtdvsBoreham Wood
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- VBS Community Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood: match review and analysis
Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood in National League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Sutton Utd recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Boreham Wood recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 24 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sutton Utd | Boreham Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sutton Utd: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Boreham Wood: (2.45 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sutton Utd recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster HarriersNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TamworthNational League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Forest GreenNational League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EastleighNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Birmingham City U21National League Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BarrowNational League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| WealdstoneNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GatesheadNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sutton Utd’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Boreham Wood recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AltrinchamNational League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kidderminster HarriersNational League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Everton U21National League Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| EastleighNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Newcastle United U21National League Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CarlisleNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WorthingNational League | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Boreham Wood’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Boreham Wood are ranked 1 in Conference, with 32 points from 12 games.
Sutton Utd are ranked 11 in Conference, with 18 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.