Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 10
Svetkavitsa 14vsOlympic Varna
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Svetkavitsa 14 vs Olympic Varna: match review and analysis
Svetkavitsa 14 vs Olympic Varna in Third League - Northeast on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Svetkavitsa 14 recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Olympic Varna recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 23 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Svetkavitsa 14 | Olympic Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Svetkavitsa 14: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 2.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Olympic Varna: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Svetkavitsa 14 recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Cherno more IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Chernomorets BalchikThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Septemvri DragoevoThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Spartak Varna IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Svetkavitsa 14’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Olympic Varna recent form
2.30 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Cherno more IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Chernomorets BalchikThird League - Northeast | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Septemvri DragoevoThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Svetkavitsa TargovishteThird League - Northeast | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Olympic Varna’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Svetkavitsa 14 are ranked 5 in Northeast, with 16 points from 9 games.
Olympic Varna are ranked 12 in Northeast, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets 1919 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Cherno more II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.