Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 8
SVZW0–2Sparta Nijkerk
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- 0–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
SVZW vs Sparta Nijkerk: match review and analysis
SVZW vs Sparta Nijkerk in Derde Divisie on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
SVZW recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 34. Sparta Nijkerk recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 26 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | SVZW | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 34 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
SVZW: (1.19 weighted goals scored + 1.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sparta Nijkerk: (2.69 weighted goals scored + 3.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
SVZW recent form
1.10 goals scored and 3.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACVDerde Divisie | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Harkemase BoysDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SC GenemuidenDerde Divisie | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ADO '20Derde Divisie | Home | 4–6 | Lost | |
| HoogeveenKNVB Beker | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Excelsior '31Derde Divisie | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| DovoDerde Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HoogeveenDerde Divisie | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| FC VolendamFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Jodan BoysKNVB Beker | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from SVZW’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sparta Nijkerk recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StaphorstDerde Divisie | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| UDI '19KNVB Beker | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| EemdijkDerde Divisie | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| HerculesDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DVS 33 ErmeloDerde Divisie | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| VenrayKNVB Beker | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| HollandiaDerde Divisie | Home | 5–5 | Draw | |
| TECDerde Divisie | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sportlust '46Derde Divisie | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| IjsselmeervogelsTweede Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sparta Nijkerk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sparta Nijkerk are ranked 8 in Derde Divisie, with 14 points from 8 games.
SVZW are ranked 18 in Derde Divisie, with 1 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 19 |
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | ACV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Dovo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 5 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 3 |
| 15 | Vvsb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | SVZW | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.