UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Group Stage - 22
Sweden U212–0North Macedonia U21
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
- Venue
- Falcon Alkoholfri Arena
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 15′
- 52′
Cards
- 22′N. TolfYellow CardSweden U21
- 56′D. DanevYellow CardNorth Macedonia U21
- 74′A. ArizankoskiYellow CardNorth Macedonia U21
- 74′V. TasovskiYellow CardNorth Macedonia U21
- 80′T. NikolovskiYellow CardNorth Macedonia U21
- 86′O. CottonYellow CardSweden U21
Events updated
Lineups
Sweden U21
Coach: Carl Daniel Bäckström
Starting XI
- 1V. Andersson
- 2O. Cotton
- 3P. Amoran
- 4O. Samuelsson
- 5N. Tolf
- 8V. Svensson
- 6Y. Geiger
- 10K. Gunnarsson
- 7C. Rosenqvist
- 9L. Ostman
- 11A. Njie
Substitutes
North Macedonia U21
Coach: Goran Stanić
Starting XI
- 1L. Djekov
- 14A. Arizankoski
- 4A. Murati
- 13R. Murati
- 7D. Danev
- 6I. Maslarov
- 8T. Nikolovski
- 20V. Tasovski
- 3A. Velkov
- 9N. Velichkovski
- 11A. Ljatifi
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21: match review and analysis
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21 in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sweden U21 recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 25. North Macedonia U21 recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 5 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sweden U21 | North Macedonia U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 25 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sweden U21: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 2.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
North Macedonia U21: (0.48 weighted goals scored + 2.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sweden U21 recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Finland U21Friendlies | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Italy U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Montenegro U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Armenia U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| North Macedonia U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Poland U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Italy U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Montenegro U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Armenia U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sweden U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
North Macedonia U21 recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Morocco U20Mediterranean Games | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Türkiye U20Mediterranean Games | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Tunisia U21Mediterranean Games | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| United States U20Friendlies | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bulgaria U21Friendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Armenia U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Italy U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Poland U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sweden U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from North Macedonia U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 24 |
| 2 | Finland U21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 22 |
| 3 | Romania U21 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Kosovo U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Cyprus U21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino U21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 55 | -55 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 2 | 31 | 22 |
| 2 | Czechia U21 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Scotland U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 4 | Bulgaria U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
| 6 | Gibraltar U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 44 | -43 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France U21 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 23 |
| 2 | Switzerland U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Iceland U21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands U21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 12 |
| 5 | Luxembourg U21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 | Estonia U21 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U21 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 23 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 3 | Slovakia U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Moldova U21 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 9 |
| 5 | Andorra U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 6 | Kazakhstan U21 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 4 |
Sweden U21 are ranked 3 in Group E, with 13 points from 10 games.
North Macedonia U21 are ranked 5 in Group E, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 27 |
| 2 | Poland U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Sweden U21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 13 |
| 4 | Montenegro U21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 5 | North Macedonia U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 | Armenia U21 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 25 | -20 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | Greece U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland U21 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 | Georgia U21 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 5 | Latvia U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 8 |
| 6 | Malta U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 38 | -36 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Israel U21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Netherlands U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 5 | Slovenia U21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Ukraine U21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Hungary U21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 5 | Lithuania U21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark U21 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Austria U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Wales U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 6 |
| 5 | Belarus U21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poland U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | Greece U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Finland U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Denmark U21 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Czechia U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Turkey U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Switzerland U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Republic of Ireland U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Israel U21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.