Esiliiga B · Regular Season - 31
Tallinna Kalev IIvsParnu JK Vaprus U21
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Esiliiga B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21: match review and analysis
Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in Esiliiga B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Tallinna Kalev II recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 22. Parnu JK Vaprus U21 recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 38 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tallinna Kalev II | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 38 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tallinna Kalev II: (2.21 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21: (4.16 weighted goals scored + 2.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tallinna Kalev II recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TulevikEsiliiga B | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Narva U21Esiliiga B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| JK TabasaluEsiliiga B | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21Esiliiga B | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| TulevikEsiliiga B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tartu KalevEsiliiga B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LegionEsiliiga B | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| JK TabasaluEsiliiga B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Tallinna Kalev II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 recent form
3.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LegionEsiliiga B | Home | 12–0 | Won | |
| Tartu KalevEsiliiga B | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tallinna Kalev IIEsiliiga B | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| LegionEsiliiga B | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| JK TabasaluEsiliiga B | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| TulevikEsiliiga B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tartu KalevEsiliiga B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LuunjaEsiliiga B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Levadia U19Esiliiga B | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Parnu JK Vaprus U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Esiliiga B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are ranked 7 in Esiliiga B, with 46 points from 30 games.
Tallinna Kalev II are ranked 9 in Esiliiga B, with 29 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 71 | 36 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 31 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 78 | 52 | 26 | 59 |
| 3 | Phoenix | 30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 54 |
| 4 | Tulevik | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 81 | 64 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Tartu Kalev | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 72 | 58 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Luunja | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 74 | 63 | 11 | 47 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 95 | 62 | 33 | 46 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 81 | -37 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 29 |
| 10 | Legion | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 29 | 116 | -87 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.