Primera Premier · Regular Season - 6
Tapachula2–3Chapulineros
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Premier
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tapachula vs Chapulineros: match review and analysis
Tapachula vs Chapulineros in Primera Premier on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Tapachula recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Chapulineros recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, with 6 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tapachula | Chapulineros |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tapachula: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chapulineros: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tapachula recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pioneros de CancúnPrimera Premier | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Inter Playa del CarmenPrimera Premier | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CelayaPrimera Premier | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Racing de VeracruzPrimera Premier | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Tritons VallartaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tritons VallartaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mexicali FCLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pioneros de CancúnLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Jaguares de ChiapasLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Tapachula’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chapulineros recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pioneros de CancúnPrimera Premier | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Inter Playa del CarmenPrimera Premier | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CelayaPrimera Premier | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Racing de VeracruzPrimera Premier | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Jaguares de ChiapasPrimera Premier | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pioneros de CancúnLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Jaguares de ChiapasLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MontañesesLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Inter Playa del CarmenLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Héroes de ZaciLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chapulineros’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Premier — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chapulineros are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 6 games.
Tapachula are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Celaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Racing de Veracruz | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Zacatepec 1948 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Reboceros La Piedad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Montañeses | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Cordobés | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lobos ULMX | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Tritons Vallarta | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | H2O Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.