Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Group 18 - 6
TarancónvsSocuéllamos
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tarancón vs Socuéllamos: match review and analysis
Tarancón vs Socuéllamos in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Tarancón recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Socuéllamos recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tarancón | Socuéllamos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tarancón: (1.88 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Socuéllamos: (0.84 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tarancón recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarchamaloTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Guadalajara IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 6–2 | Won | |
| CD VillaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TorrijosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IllescasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CazalegasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Huracán BalazoteTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Guadalajara IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tarancón’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Socuéllamos recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CD VillaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TorrijosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IllescasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VillarrobledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Las Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rayo Vallecano IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Socuéllamos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tarancón are ranked 8 in Tercera: Group 18, with 7 points from 5 games.
Socuéllamos are ranked 13 in Tercera: Group 18, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Tarancón | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuéllamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Guadalajara II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.