1. Division · Regular Season - 24
TarazvsSport Academy Kairat
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Division
- Venue
- Central Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Taraz vs Sport Academy Kairat: match review and analysis
Taraz vs Sport Academy Kairat in 1. Division on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Taraz recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Sport Academy Kairat recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 22 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Taraz | Sport Academy Kairat |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Taraz: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 0.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sport Academy Kairat: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Taraz recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhter Karagandy1. Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Khan Tengri1. Division | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Astana II1. Division | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Tobol 21. Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Arys1. Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Turan Turkistan1. Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Jaiyq1. Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Akademiya Ontustik1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yelimay Semey 21. Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aktobe Jas1. Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Taraz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sport Academy Kairat recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khan Tengri1. Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Astana II1. Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tobol 21. Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arys1. Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Turan Turkistan1. Division | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Akademiya Ontustik1. Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Yelimay Semey 21. Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jaiyq1. Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Aktobe Jas1. Division | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Kaspij Aktau 21. Division | Home | 6–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sport Academy Kairat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sport Academy Kairat are ranked 2 in 1st Division, with 56 points from 23 games.
Taraz are ranked 7 in 1st Division, with 30 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 8 | 58 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 12 | 54 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 31 |
| 7 | Taraz | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 28 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Ekibastuz | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 12 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.