FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Thame United0–1Eastbourne Borough
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Thame United vs Eastbourne Borough: match review and analysis
Thame United vs Eastbourne Borough in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Thame United recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 14. Eastbourne Borough recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 23 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Thame United | Eastbourne Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Thame United: (2.32 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Eastbourne Borough: (2.39 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Thame United recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chichester CityFA Trophy | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ExmouthFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ExmouthFA Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Portland UnitedFA Trophy | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Reading CityFA Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Westbury UnitedFA Trophy | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Div One - Southern Central | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Biggleswade TownNon League Div One - Southern Central | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Welwyn Garden CityNon League Div One - Southern Central | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Aylesbury UnitedNon League Div One - Southern Central | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Thame United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Eastbourne Borough recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welwyn Garden CityFA Trophy | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| WindsorFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| WhitehawkFA Cup | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Brentwood TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Three BridgesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Eastbourne Borough’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.