J3 League · Regular Season - 10
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–1FC Ryukyu
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J3 League
- Venue
- Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu: match review and analysis
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu in J3 League on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Thespakusatsu Gunma recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 20. FC Ryukyu recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Thespakusatsu Gunma | FC Ryukyu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Thespakusatsu Gunma: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Ryukyu: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Thespakusatsu Gunma recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FCJ3 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kochi UnitedJ3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Fukushima UnitedJ3 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Albirex NiigataJ-League Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Parceiro NaganoJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tokyo VerdyEmperor Cup | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tohoku Gakuin UniversityEmperor Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Thespakusatsu Gunma’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Ryukyu recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KanazawaJ3 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ehime FCJ3 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yokohama FCJ-League Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SagamiharaJ3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OsakaJ3 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Ryukyu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Ryukyu are ranked 13 in J3 League, with 11 points from 9 games.
Thespakusatsu Gunma are ranked 18 in J3 League, with 6 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.