Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Results
Tivoli GardensvsRacing United
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
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RealScored match analysis
Tivoli Gardens vs Racing United: match review and analysis
Tivoli Gardens vs Racing United in Premier League on 12 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Tivoli Gardens recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Racing United recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tivoli Gardens | Racing United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tivoli Gardens: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Racing United: (2.22 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tivoli Gardens recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tru-JuicePremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ChapeltonPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Treasure BeachPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Humble LionsPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CavalierPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Treasure BeachPremier League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Molynes UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Montego Bay UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| DunbeholdenPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tivoli Gardens’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Racing United recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molynes UnitedPremier League | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Montego Bay UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arnett GardensPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Spanish Town PolicePremier League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CavalierPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Molynes UnitedPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Racing United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Racing United are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 9 points from 4 games.
Tivoli Gardens are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 8 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montego Bay United | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Waterhouse | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 10 |
| 3 | Racing United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Molynes United | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.