Premier League · Regular Season - 5
TonotavsSua Flamingoes
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tonota vs Sua Flamingoes: match review and analysis
Tonota vs Sua Flamingoes in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Tonota recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Sua Flamingoes recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 15 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tonota | Sua Flamingoes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tonota: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sua Flamingoes: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
Tonota recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. 3 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MatebelePremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BDF XIPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TAFICPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tonota’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sua Flamingoes recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EnesiaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Prisons XIPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MatebelePremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MatebelePremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Black LionsPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| GalaxyPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BDF XIPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Police XIPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Sua Flamingoes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tonota are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 8 points from 4 games.
Sua Flamingoes are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 8 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Police XI | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nico United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | TAFIC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Extension Gunners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Enesia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Township Rollers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | BDF XI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Gaborone United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Matebele | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Prisons XI | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.