Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Group 7 - 5
Torrejón4–0Unión Adarve
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–0
- 90-minute score
- 4–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Torrejón vs Unión Adarve: match review and analysis
Torrejón vs Unión Adarve in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Torrejón recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Unión Adarve recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Torrejón | Unión Adarve |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Torrejón: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Unión Adarve: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Torrejón recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FuenlabradaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Getafe IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AD ParlaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Alcorcón IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Torrejón’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Unión Adarve recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FuenlabradaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SS Reyes IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MarchamaloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Getafe IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing MadridTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Villaverde-BoetticherTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Unión Adarve’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Torrejón are ranked 10 in Tercera: Group 7, with 6 points from 5 games.
Unión Adarve are ranked 11 in Tercera: Group 7, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Móstoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganés II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Alcobendas Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.