Premier League · Regular Season - 4
Treasure Beach1–1Humble Lions
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Steths Sports Complex
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions: match review and analysis
Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions in Premier League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Treasure Beach recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Humble Lions recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Treasure Beach | Humble Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Treasure Beach: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 2.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Humble Lions: (0.60 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Treasure Beach recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WaterhousePremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tivoli GardensPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Molynes UnitedPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Molynes UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Montego Bay UnitedPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tivoli GardensPremier League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| DunbeholdenPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WaterhousePremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ChapeltonPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Treasure Beach’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Humble Lions recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| WaterhousePremier League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Tivoli GardensPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Racing UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DunbeholdenPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WaterhousePremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arnett GardensPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Molynes UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Humble Lions’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Treasure Beach are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 2 points from 4 games.
Humble Lions are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montego Bay United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Waterhouse | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chapelton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 11 | Molynes United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunbeholden | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.