FAW Championship · South - 10
Treowen Stars1–2Ynyshir Albions
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FAW Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Treowen Stars vs Ynyshir Albions: match review and analysis
Treowen Stars vs Ynyshir Albions in FAW Championship on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Treowen Stars recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 23. Ynyshir Albions recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 9 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Treowen Stars | Ynyshir Albions |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Treowen Stars: (2.05 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ynyshir Albions: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 2.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Treowen Stars recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe TownFAW Championship | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Llantwit MajorFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| llanelli AFCFAW Championship | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Caerphilly AthleticFAW Championship | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pontypridd TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| TrefelinFAW Championship | Away | 0–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Treowen Stars’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ynyshir Albions recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Afan LidoFAW Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Newport CityFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Caerphilly AthleticFAW Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cardiff DraconiansFAW Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ynyshir Albions’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FAW Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ynyshir Albions are ranked 7 in South, with 13 points from 8 games.
Treowen Stars are ranked 8 in South, with 13 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 30 | -26 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.