Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Tripoli SCvsAl Ahed
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tripoli SC vs Al Ahed: match review and analysis
Tripoli SC vs Al Ahed in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Tripoli SC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Al Ahed recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tripoli SC | Al Ahed |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tripoli SC: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 1.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Ahed: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tripoli SC recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabab Al GhaziehPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shabab Al SahelPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tadamon SourPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al Ahli NabatiyaPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Al HikmaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al Ahli NabatiyaCup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shabab Al GhaziehPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shabab Al SahelPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tadamon SourPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al Ahli NabatiyaPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tripoli SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Ahed recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jwaaya FCPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al NejmehPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al AnsarPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Jwaaya FCPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al NejmehPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al AnsarPremier League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Shabab Al SahelPremier League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| SafaPremier League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Al AnsarPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Al HikmaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Ahed’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Ahed are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Tripoli SC are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Tripoli SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Al Ansar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Hikma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Al Nejmeh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Safa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Al Mabarrah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Shabab Al Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tadamon Sour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Reyady Abaseya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Jwaaya FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.