Premier League · Regular Season - 2
Results
Tripoli SCvsAl Akhaa Al Ahli
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Tripoli SC vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli: match review and analysis
Tripoli SC vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli in Premier League on 12 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Tripoli SC recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Al Akhaa Al Ahli recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tripoli SC | Al Akhaa Al Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tripoli SC: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Akhaa Al Ahli: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tripoli SC recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al AhedPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shabab Al GhaziehPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shabab Al SahelPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tadamon SourPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al Ahli NabatiyaPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Al HikmaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al Ahli NabatiyaCup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shabab Al GhaziehPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shabab Al SahelPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tadamon SourPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tripoli SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Akhaa Al Ahli recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al NejmehPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BourjCup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al HikmaPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Salam ZghartaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SafaPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tadamon SourPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tripoli SCPremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Tripoli SCPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SafaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al HikmaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Al Akhaa Al Ahli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tripoli SC are ranked 7 in Premier League, with 1 points from 1 games.
Al Akhaa Al Ahli are ranked 10 in Premier League, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Safa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Nejmeh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Tadamon Sour | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jwaaya FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Ansar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Tripoli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Hikma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Reyady Abaseya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Mabarrah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabab Al Sahel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.