Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Group 7 - 5
Trival Valderas2–1Las Rozas
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas: match review and analysis
Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Trival Valderas recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Las Rozas recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Trival Valderas | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Trival Valderas: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Las Rozas: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Trival Valderas recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Parla EscuelaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| La NucíaTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| La NucíaTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Trival Valderas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Las Rozas recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Cala PozueloTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Villaverde-BoetticherTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Las Rozas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Trival Valderas are ranked 2 in Tercera: Group 7, with 11 points from 5 games.
Las Rozas are ranked 4 in Tercera: Group 7, with 10 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Móstoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganés II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Alcobendas Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.