National League Cup · Group Stage
Truro CityvsBirmingham City U21
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League Cup
- Venue
- Truro Sports Hub
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Truro City vs Birmingham City U21: match review and analysis
Truro City vs Birmingham City U21 in National League Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Truro City recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Birmingham City U21 recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Truro City | Birmingham City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Truro City: (2.17 weighted goals scored + 2.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Birmingham City U21: (1.84 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Truro City recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BraintreeNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Farnham TownNational League - South | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cirencester TownFA Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Merthyr TownFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Merthyr TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Leicester City U21National League Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Chesham UnitedNational League - South | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Truro City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Birmingham City U21 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town U21Premier League Cup | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gillingham FC U21Premier League Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Norwich City U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Sutton UtdNational League Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Boston UnitedNational League Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Swansea City U21Premier League Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ipswich Town U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Everton U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Birmingham City U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.