Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
TSV HartbergvsAustria Lustenau
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Venue
- Profertil Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau: match review and analysis
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau in Bundesliga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
TSV Hartberg recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 14. Austria Lustenau recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | TSV Hartberg | Austria Lustenau |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
TSV Hartberg: (2.58 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Austria Lustenau: (1.84 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
TSV Hartberg recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV KapfenbergFriendlies Clubs | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Lask LinzBundesliga | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| WSG WattensBundesliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SK Vorwarts SteyrCup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| RiedBundesliga | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| SCR AltachBundesliga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Austria ViennaBundesliga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sturm GrazBundesliga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ImstCup | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from TSV Hartberg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Austria Lustenau recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Schwarz-Weiß BregenzFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SCR AltachBundesliga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Austria ViennaBundesliga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SV LafnitzCup | Away | 6–2 | Won | |
| WSG WattensBundesliga | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Sturm GrazBundesliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wolfsberger ACBundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Grazer AKBundesliga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RiedBundesliga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Austria Lustenau’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
TSV Hartberg are ranked 6 in Bundesliga, with 8 points from 7 games.
Austria Lustenau are ranked 8 in Bundesliga, with 8 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Ried | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Wolfsberger AC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 | SCR Altach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.