Oberliga - Westfalen · Westfalen - 9
TuS Hordel1–4Vreden
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 9 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Westfalen
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
TuS Hordel vs Vreden: match review and analysis
TuS Hordel vs Vreden in Oberliga - Westfalen on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
TuS Hordel recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 9 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Vreden recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 24 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | TuS Hordel | Vreden |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
TuS Hordel: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vreden: (2.46 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 9 GAMES
TuS Hordel recent form
1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. 8 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| HiltrupOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arminia IIOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Victoria ClarholzOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Preußen Münster IIOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Westfalia KinderhausOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC BocholtFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from TuS Hordel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vreden recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lippstadt 08Oberliga - Westfalen | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SchermbeckOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Eintracht RheineOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| SprockhovelOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| SpVgg Herne HorsthausenOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MaaslingenOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| HiltrupOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vreden’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Westfalen — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vreden are ranked 2 in Westfalen, with 19 points from 9 games.
TuS Hordel are ranked 13 in Westfalen, with 10 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gievenbeck | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Vreden | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Eintracht Rheine | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Erkenschwick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Maaslingen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Lippstadt 08 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Sprockhovel | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Verl II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | ASC Dortmund | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Arminia II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Preußen Münster II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | TuS Hordel | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Victoria Clarholz | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Hiltrup | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ennepetal | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.