Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 39
FULL-TIME
UAI Urquiza1–0Real Pilar
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B Metropolitana
- Venue
- Monumental de Villa Lynch
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar: match review and analysis
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar in Primera B Metropolitana on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
UAI Urquiza recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Real Pilar recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 9 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UAI Urquiza | Real Pilar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UAI Urquiza: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Pilar: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UAI Urquiza recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Argentino de MerloPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo LaferrerePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Brown DE AdroguePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FlandriaPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from UAI Urquiza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Pilar recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Argentino de MerloPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo LaferrerePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Brown DE AdroguePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FlandriaPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Real Pilar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B Metropolitana — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Pilar are ranked 8 in Prim B Metro, with 61 points from 38 games.
UAI Urquiza are ranked 21 in Prim B Metro, with 35 points from 38 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 72 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 68 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 68 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 65 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 64 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 61 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 61 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 56 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | San Martín Burzaco | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 47 |
| 14 | Deportivo Merlo | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 45 |
| 15 | Argentino de Merlo | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 39 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 44 |
| 17 | Liniers | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 44 |
| 18 | Flandria | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 42 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 39 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 41 |
| 20 | Brown DE Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 39 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 64 | -37 | 16 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.