Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Group 13 - 6
UCAM Murcia IIvsMazarrón FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
UCAM Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC: match review and analysis
UCAM Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
UCAM Murcia II recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Mazarrón FC recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 12 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UCAM Murcia II | Mazarrón FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UCAM Murcia II: (1.80 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mazarrón FC: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UCAM Murcia II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| San JavierTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cartagena LU IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Balsicas AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| SantomeraTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MuleñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| El PalmarTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Balsicas AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from UCAM Murcia II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mazarrón FC recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC MinervaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Unión MolinenseTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Santa CruzTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cotillas CDTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| UCAM Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mazarrón FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
UCAM Murcia II are ranked 10 in Tercera: Group 13, with 5 points from 5 games.
Mazarrón FC are ranked 18 in Tercera: Group 13, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | San Javier | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Alcantarilla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Unión Molinense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Atlético Pulpileño | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Olímpico Totana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | SFC Minerva | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Cotillas CD | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | UCAM Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Bullas Deportivo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Águilas II | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Bala Azul | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Los Garres | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cartagena LU II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Balsicas Atlético | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Algar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.